The problem nobody talks about: vehicles sharing space

Fleet sizing studies almost always focus on one vehicle type at a time. How many AGVs do we need? How many AMRs? How many forklifts for the manual zones? Each question gets answered in isolation — by the vendor, by a spreadsheet, or by rough calculation.

The result is a facility where each fleet was sized correctly on paper, but in practice the vehicles interfere with each other constantly. An AGV on a fixed route blocks an AMR that needs to reroute. A forklift taking a wide turn at the loading dock creates a recurring queue for three AGVs waiting to charge. None of this shows up in a single-vehicle calculation.

The core problem: Intralogistics is a shared-space system. The throughput of each vehicle type depends on what all the others are doing. Sizing them separately guarantees the combined result is wrong.

Three vehicle types, three different modelling challenges

Fixed-path automation

AGV

Follows predefined routes — magnetic tape, QR codes, or wire. The simulation models traffic contention on fixed paths, charging cycles, and intersection priority rules. The critical question: where does the route network create deadlocks under load?

Dynamic navigation

AMR

Navigates freely using SLAM — no fixed paths, reroutes around obstacles in real time. The simulation models fleet coordination via the traffic management system, zone reservations, and the interaction between dynamic AMR routing and the fixed infrastructure AGVs rely on.

Manual / semi-automated

Forklift

The unpredictable agents in any intralogistics model. Variable speed, unplanned stops, operator behaviour patterns, and shift breaks all affect how much space automated vehicles have. A model without forklifts will overestimate automated throughput by a significant margin in mixed facilities.

How simulation handles the whole picture

A Simio simulation model places all vehicle types in the same environment simultaneously. Each AGV follows its routing logic, each AMR navigates dynamically, each forklift moves according to its task list and operator behaviour parameters. They share aisles, intersections, charging infrastructure, and loading docks — and the model captures every interaction.

This means you can test questions no spreadsheet can answer: What happens to AGV throughput when forklift shift patterns change? Does switching from 12 AGVs to 8 AMRs maintain throughput — and what does the aisle conflict profile look like? Can three more forklifts replace two broken AGVs during peak season without throughput collapse?

1

Fleet inventory & layout mapping

We document every vehicle type in scope: AGV specifications (speed, payload, charging), AMR navigation system and fleet management software, forklift types and task profiles. The floor plan is mapped including shared zones, charging locations, and pedestrian areas.

2

Mixed-fleet model build

We build the Simio model with all vehicle types operating together. AGV fixed routes, AMR dynamic navigation logic, and forklift task models are validated separately, then combined with the shared traffic management layer.

3

Scenario matrix

We test the configurations you need to compare: different fleet compositions (more AMRs, fewer AGVs), routing rule changes, charging strategies, shift pattern variations, and peak demand events. Typically 5–8 scenarios with multiple replications each.

4

Results & fleet recommendation

You receive throughput curves for each scenario, conflict and queue analysis by vehicle type, a specific fleet composition recommendation, and the Simio model — yours to rerun as requirements change.

What you get at the end

Right mix
Confirmed fleet composition — how many of each type — that meets throughput targets
Conflict map
Every aisle segment and intersection ranked by interference frequency under load
Your model
Simio model handed over — rerun with any fleet change, layout update, or demand shift

Deliverables include: the Simio model file, a scenario comparison report with throughput and utilisation curves for each vehicle type, an aisle conflict analysis, and a written recommendation. If your plans change after delivery — new vehicle specs, revised throughput targets, a layout change — the model reruns.

AGV vs AMR vs forklift — what the model captures

Model elementAGVAMRForklift
Navigation behaviourFixed route + traffic rulesDynamic SLAM pathfindingTask-driven, variable
Charging / energy modelScheduled or opportunity chargingOpportunity charging at docksShift-based refuelling
Fleet coordinationCentral dispatcher logicTMS zone reservationsManual coordination
Interference with other typesModelled at every intersectionDynamic avoidance simulatedVariable obstruction modelled
Failure / downtimeMTBF/MTTR distributionsMTBF/MTTR distributionsOperator absence, breaks

What data do we need?

The more you have, the more precise the result — but we can start with design targets and known vehicle specs:

  • Floor plan or CAD layout — with aisle widths, turning radii constraints, shared zones marked
  • Vehicle specifications — speed, payload, turning radius, charging time for each vehicle type
  • Task profiles — what each vehicle type does, how many trips per shift, pick/drop locations
  • Forklift shift patterns — number of operators, shift start/end, break schedules
  • Throughput targets — pallets per hour, orders per shift, or transport tasks per hour
  • AMR traffic management system — vendor and version if already selected; if not, we model a representative TMS

Tools & technology

All fleet simulation work is built in Simio, using our proprietary intralogistics framework — pre-validated components for AGV fixed-path routing, AMR dynamic navigation modelling, forklift task logic, shared intersection management, and multi-type charging coordination. For fleet composition optimisation problems with multiple simultaneous constraints, we layer in IBM Decision Optimization.

Simio SimulateFirst Fleet Framework IBM Optimization Mixed-fleet traffic management

We model all major AGV vendors (Jungheinrich, Still, Dematic, SSI Schäfer, and others), AMR platforms (Mobile Industrial Robots, Locus, Fetch, Geek+), and standard forklift types. Vendor-specific behaviour can be parameterised directly from the technical datasheet — no vendor plugin required.

Related examples

See it in practice

Case study

E-commerce fulfilment centre:
right fleet before the building was finished

Simio mixed-fleet simulation — AGVs and forklifts in a fulfilment warehouse
Logistics · Simio · Mixed fleet

Mixed AGV and forklift fleet — sized before construction completed

A logistics operator was equipping a new 45,000 m² fulfilment centre. The plan called for 14 AGVs serving the ASRS and 6 forklifts handling inbound and oversized goods. Vendor proposals for the AGV fleet ranged from 12 to 18 vehicles depending on who was asked.

SimulateFirst built a Simio model including both the AGV fleet and the forklift traffic in the shared main aisle. Two things became immediately apparent: the forklifts were creating a recurring queue at the main ASRS interface during inbound peaks, and 10 AGVs with opportunity charging outperformed 14 with scheduled charging.

10 AGVs confirmed — not 14 — saving significant procurement cost
Inbound forklift routing redesigned to eliminate the ASRS queue
Charging strategy changed before hardware was ordered
Model delivered before construction finished — decision made in time
View all examples →
AI-assisted modelling

Start before the facility exists

New facilities have no measured travel distances, no forklift interaction logs, and no AMR navigation data. We use AI to generate synthetic travel time distributions for all vehicle types from layout geometry and vehicle specifications — calibrated against industry benchmarks for acceleration profiles, intersection delays, and load handling.

This means a concept-phase fleet comparison — 12 AGVs vs 8 AMRs + 4 forklifts vs a different layout entirely — can run and produce useful results weeks before any real measurement is available. Synthetic data is replaced with real measurements before the final recommendation is issued.

Read the AI & simulation guide →
AI applies to this service
  • Synthetic AGV & AMR route times from CAD layout
  • Forklift travel distributions from task descriptions
  • Fleet composition ranking before real data is available
  • Batch scenario automation — overnight runs, morning results
FAQ

Common questions about
intralogistics fleet simulation

AGVs follow fixed, predefined routes — magnetic tape, QR codes, or wire guidance. AMRs navigate dynamically using SLAM and reroute around obstacles in real time. Simulating AGVs means modelling fixed-path traffic and contention at intersections. Simulating AMRs means modelling dynamic pathfinding, fleet coordination through a traffic management system, and zone reservations. Mixed fleets with both types require both models running simultaneously with shared aisle logic.
Yes — and this is where the most important insights often come from. Manual forklifts are unpredictable agents: they stop unexpectedly, change speed, block aisles during loading, and create variable interference for automated vehicles. A simulation that models only the AGV or AMR fleet without the forklifts in the same aisles will systematically overestimate throughput. We model all vehicle types together to capture the real interference patterns.
Yes — this is one of the most common questions we answer with simulation. AGVs are typically cheaper per unit and simpler to manage at large scale, but require infrastructure (tape, QR codes) and are inflexible when layouts change. AMRs are more flexible and layout-independent, but more expensive and require a mature traffic management system. Simulation lets you test both options against your actual throughput requirement and layout before committing to either technology.
A focused fleet sizing study with 3–5 configurations typically takes 4–8 weeks from data receipt to final report. Mixed-fleet studies covering AGV, AMR, and forklift interactions together, with multiple shift patterns and charging strategies, run 6–10 weeks. We scope the exact timeline and deliverables in the proposal phase, before any commitment.
That's the ideal time to run the simulation — when the layout can still be changed. We can test multiple layout options in parallel and identify which configuration minimises fleet size and interference. When real layout data isn't available yet, we use AI-generated synthetic travel time distributions based on the planned geometry and vehicle specifications, then replace those with measured values as the layout is finalised.
Yes — the Simio model is handed over with full documentation. You can rerun it with updated throughput targets, a changed layout, new vehicle specifications, or a different fleet composition. If you want to run future scenarios in-house, we offer Simio training as a follow-on. Many clients use the model for years after the initial project as their facility evolves.
Free consultation

Let's size your fleet correctly

Tell us your vehicle mix, facility layout, and throughput targets. We'll confirm whether simulation is the right tool and scope the study before any commitment.

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+49 (0) 351 30906020

Poland — Wrocław

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